robert griffin III

Wildcard Weekend: Matchups of the Game

Dec 30, 2012, Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Golden Tate (81) runs for yards after a catch against the St. Louis Rams during the third quarter at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Today’s game features the Seattle Seahawks flying east to the nation’s capital to do battle with an explosive Washington Redskins team led by superhuman rookie quarterback RGIII. The Seahawks are the favorites heading into this game on the strength of their superior record and the way they closed out the season with a notable victory at Chicago followed by three blowout wins (including one over the #2 seed San Francisco) and a final win last week against St. Louis. 5 wins, 4 of them of the impressive variety, is nothings to sneeze at and it’s no surprise the Seahawks are being labeled as a dangerous team right now. The thing that people seem to be glossing over is that the Redskins won their last 7 games which is an even more remarkable feat. They can’t be taken lightly in this game but nor are they an unstoppable force. The Redskins are the sort of team you’d expect to play in wildcard weekend, a good team with some issues. One of those issues today is Robert Griffin’s knee. Although RGIII is an accomplished passer without his trademark speed he loses a dynamic aspect of his game. However, since it’s hard to discuss the matchup of the Seahawks defense vs. Robert Griffin’s knee without sounding like Gregg Williams I’ll have to turn my attention elsewhere. Instead we will focus on whole players rather than individual joints in the first ever playoff edition of “matchups of the game”.

Matchup #1: Russell Okung vs. Trent Williams

I’ll start here by saying that I am aware of the basic principles of football and the fact that these two LT’s will never see the field against each other. The comparison of the two Pro Bowl tackles in this game is what interests me. Not only were Okung (drafted 6th overall) and Williams (4th overall) compared ad nauseam during the 2010 Draft process but they likely will be during their careers. Most observers at the time saw Okung as the #1 LT prospect available but the Redskins chose Williams instead as he was a better fit for their scheme. Both teams have been rewarded with quality players. Both players are making their first Pro Bowl appearance in their third years in the league after having some trouble staying healthy in their first two years (23 starts during that period for Williams, 22 for Okung). Okung and Williams are both protecting very mobile quarterbacks which, on the surface, seems like a benefit as their quarterback’s legs can bail them out of trouble. In reality scrambling quarterbacks can be infuriating to block for because although they are a moving target to defenders they are the same for blockers and their unpredictability of movement can turn an excellent block into the wrong block in no time at all. Both the Seahawks’ and Redskins’ defenses will be keying on the oppositions running game and as a result there will be opportunities for shots down the field in this game. Whichever one of these men is able to keep their quarterback safer and in a position to hold the ball and make the deep throw might well see their team emerge victorious.

Matchup #2: Richard Sherman vs. Pierre Garcon

I’ve highlighted this matchup mainly for the reason that Richard Sherman already declared that he wasn’t worried about Garcon and I’d like to see him back up that kind of talk. I admire Sherman’s confidence and acknowledge his skill, but to be honest Garcon is the type of receiver worth losing a little sleep over. Garcon played in only 10 games this year, very few of them completely healthy, and put up 633 yards or 63.3 per game. Over a full year that average would have resulted in 1012 yards for Garcon and that’s without considering to what degree he played hurt. Given that 1000 yard receivers don’t grow on trees (there were 19 this year) Sherman will have to pay attention today. Garcon has electric down the field ability and Sherman would be wise to bully him at the line of scrimmage as much as possible. The reason that shutting down Garcon is so essential is that there is such a drop off between him and the next best receiving option in Washington. The Redskins other starting wideout, Joshua Morgan, has put up 31.9 yards a game and a far from intimidating 10.6 yards per catch. Logan Paulsen, the starting tight end, is averaging 19.3 yards per game. The bottom line is if you shut down Pierre Garcon you can cripple the Washington passing game and the Seahawks will be allocating arguably their best player to that exact assignment.

Matchup #3: Golden Tate vs. Josh Wilson

The battle of Seattle’s 2010 2nd round pick and their 2007 2nd rounder should be a doozy. Even though Sidney Rice isn’t 100% (1 catch for 14 yards in his last 2 games) he will still likely draw DeAngelo Hall leaving two “mighty mites” to duke it out on the other side of the field. Tate actually has the height advantage in this one, a luxury he rarely has access to, which might make it easier for him to reel in a jump ball or two down field. He has really emerged this year with 45.9 yards per game, almost twice his career high of 23.9 yards per match. Tate has finally turned his strength and short area quickness into tangible production and is beginning to look the part of a starting WR. If the Seattle passing game is really going to get going Tate will need to be involved but that’s easier said than done against former Seahawk Josh Wilson. Wilson has emerged as a viable starting corner over the last two years in Washington starting all 32 games and averaging 2 INT and 14 PD per year. Adding in a knack for creating fumbles (3FF this year) and the fact he is immensely dangerous with the ball in his hands (you may recall he led the league in kick return yardage for the 2008 Seahawks), Wilson is a nifty player and a formidable opponent. However, he is a formidable opponent Tate will have to best because unless Rice finds his stride again Tate is the #1 option for Russell Wilson today.

This game has the makings of a memorable contest. The Seahawks take to the road looking for their first road win since 1983 (a stat that just keeps coming up this week) against a team that is likely inferior but only slightly so. With the Redskins holding home field advantage I’d say this one is about dead even. An absolute dogfight is in order with two powerful RB’s, two Pro Bowl LT’s and two rookie sensations leading the way at QB. The difference in this game is that Seattle has the elite defense and Washington doesn’t (the Redskins allowed 1144 yards and 143 points more than Seattle over the course of the year). I have faith that Seattle can put some points against a Washington defense that is fairly unimpressive, so all they really have to do is stop RGIII and company. That sounds so simple. I’ve got this sneaking suspicion it’s easier said than done. Whatever the case may be Seahawks fans are in for an exciting day, and with any luck, an even more exciting night.

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5 Keys to Victory: Seattle Seahawks Vs. Washington Redskins

1) Stop Em’ Cold
- The Redskins averaged 169 yards per game on the ground throughout the season. It’s no secret they are going to try and establish a consistent, time-consuming game plan to offset Seattle’s new found high-octane offense. It will be up to the ‘Hawks D to create 3rd and Long situations for RG3, and take Alfred Morris out of the equation by going up early and being stout at the point of attack to force Washington into obvious passing situations where the Seahawks can best utilize their speed in their pass rush. Look for Chris Clemons, and Bruce Irvin to come up big in this one.

2) Wear Em’ Out
- On the other side of the ball, the Redskins gave up an average of 378 yards to opposing offenses on the year. This bodes well for a peaking Seattle Offense, and its power run game. While Washington did hold opponents to just under a 100 yards per game on the ground, look for the ‘Hawks to ‘Feed the Beast’, and rely heavily on Marshawn Lynch as well as it’s vertical passing game out of play-action to keep the aging Redskins defense on the field for extended periods of time in the fridgid, bone aching cold of FedEx Field. I would look for Sidney Rice to benefit greatly in this matchup, as he must be frustrated from the lack of looks he received against St. Louis on top of the fact the Redskins pass-D has been giving up an average of almost 300 yards per game. Could be a big game for the Seahawks Wideouts.

3) Mirror-Mirror
- While there are distinct differences in schematics, and approach, the Seahawks and Redskins adopt very similar philosophies when it comes to their offensive game plans. Run the football, utilize their youth and athleticism at the Quarterback position, and maintain field position and game clock dominance. In doing this, both teams have the advantage of having seen a version of what the other team is going to be doing come Sunday, to a degree, in practice. While the Redskins utilize the Pistol formation in most of its read-option packages, the Seahawks Defense will have had a good amount of familiarity in defending this type of offense, as it does so a weekly basis at the VMAC. While both teams can claim to have this advantage, I think it can only bolster a team’s chances on the road in the playoffs.

4) Road Warriors
- The Seahawks haven’t won on the road since 1983. It’s been well documented in the lead up to the game. It’s true, winning on the road in the playoffs, let alone in the regular season, is a tough hill to climb. If the Seahawks have any chance of moving on in the tournament, they’ll have to knock down the 29 year old roadblock that stands in their way in our Nation’s Capitol. One could cite numerous occasions when a Wild Card team has ran the house on the road to end up in the Big Game. The Giants did it just recently. But it’s not commonplace. Not by a long shot. However, this Seattle team has found a new resilience, a new gusto, born in the last 2 drives in Chicago and has been with them ever since. With the Smooth Operator in Wilson at the helm, and a ferocious Defense on the road, the formula for success is in place. It’s up to the Seahawks to execute it.

5) Silence is Golden
- While the 12th Man will be represented with a strong showing in Washington D.C., it will still be a rough go for the ‘Hawks if the 85-90,000+ at FedEx Field get going in a frenzy. As is true with any road game, the deflation of any home team momentum goes a long way to the overall feel and ‘buzz’ of the game. Look for the Seahawks to get things going early with a shot or 2 down the field to muzzle the efforts of the Redskins faithful. A nice completion to a streaking Golden Tate off of play-action on 2nd and 2 would definitely put a hush on the largest capacity venue in the NFL. Hey, maybe the 12th Man will turn it into a home game of sorts for the visiting Hawks. One can only hope…Best of luck to our beloved Seahawks, and all my 12th Men and Women around the world. I 3elieve. HAWKS!!

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Russell Wilson And Robert Griffin III: A Comparison

In the coming days, I’m sure we’re going to read online, and see on TV, a number of comparisons of Seattle’s Russell Wilson and Washington’s Robert Griffin. It’s a natural comparison, especially since the two rookies face off this Sunday in the playoffs.

Both QBs are dual threats; equally dangerous with their legs as well as their arms. They both are accurate, and are high velocity passers. They also both take care of the football, leading to very few turnovers.

The similarities really do end there.

Dec 30, 2012, Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) looks to pass against the St. Louis Rams during the first quarter at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Their running styles are both extremely effective, but they are very different. Russell Wilson is fast, but he’s downright slow compared to Griffin. Griffin has elite straight line speed that is among the best in the NFL at any position. The only Seahawk who’s in the same league as Griffin in terms of pure speed is Earl Thomas.

On the other hand, Griffin (and the rest of the NFL for that matter) just doesn’t have Wilson’s ability to stop, restart, change directions, and juke defenders out of their shoes the way that Wilson does.

The difference can be seen when they drop back to pass as well. For all his improvement, Wilson is still only an average  QB inside the pocket. It’s once he gets outside the pocket, whether a designed rollout or when he’s just extending the play, that Wilson becomes an elite passer.

Dec 30, 2012; Landover, MD, USA; Washington Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III (10) rolls out during the first half against the Dallas Cowboys at FedEX Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA Today Sports

At this point in their development, Griffin is better inside the pocket, and definitely looks more comfortable when asked to asked to take a traditional 5 or 7 step drop. When forced outside the pocket though, he tends not to try and extend the play, but instead pulls the ball down and takes off as a runner more often than not.

The QBs also tend to prefer different passes. Wilson throws the ball deep on 16.3% of his passes, which is the 2nd highest in the NFL. Griffin on the other hand threw deep on just 9.5% of his passes, which was the 2nd lowest in the league.

Another way to look at it is that much of Griffin’s passing yards come from yards after the catch (YAC). According to football outsiders: “27% of [RG3's] completions failed to gain meaningful yardage towards a new set of downs.” So over a quarter of Griffin’s completions were for minimal gain. Or if you prefer to think of it in another way, According to ProFootballFocus, 61.4% (5th highest) of Wilson’s passing yards come while the ball is in the air, which just 53.2% (21st in the league) of Griffin’s passing yards come while the ball is in the air.

That isn’t meant to be a knock on Griffin, and shouldn’t be taken as one. Griffin actually has a league best yards per passing attempt (8.14) this season, while Wilson was 4th with 7.96 yards per attempt. So while Griffin’s targets aren’t as far downfield, the plays are actually designed in way to try and get the receivers in space where they can run after catching the ball.

So there you have it. While these two QBs might seem similar on a superficial level, they are actually very different when you begin to dig a little deeper into the stats and break down the tape. Then again, there is one more thing that they have in common: both are very very good.

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“A Reach in the Third Round”: How Russell Wilson Compares to the 2012 Rookie Quarterback Class

Nov 11, 2012; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) passes the ball during the 1st half against the New York Jets at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-US PRESSWIRE

Faced with the boredom associated with the Seahawks’ bye week I played with some statistics, as I am wont to do, in order to gauge how our fearless leader Russell Wilson compares to the other rookie quarterbacks in the NFL. This is a banner year for the rookie quarterback with studs like Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III as well as two other first rounders who are starting for their teams in Ryan Tannehill and Brandon Weeden. In order to see how Wilson stacked up I decided to combine and average the statistics of the four 1st round quarterbacks to create a hypothetical quarterback named “Brandrew Griffehill III” to whom I compare Wilson’s performance. Before we jump in, a couple of housekeeping things. Firstly, I’m aware that “Brandrew Griffehill III” is an utterly terrible fake name, but I challenge you to make something coherent out of the four names above. Secondly, because the four rookie quarterbacks discussed in comparison to Wilson have all had their byes they have only started 9 games each instead of ten. As a result I have only used rate stats in this comparison in order to avoid being misleading. Thirdly, I have not included any rushing statistics but it should be noted that Griffin and Luck have both been exceptional rushing quarterbacks and Wilson does lag in this area compared to the field. Lastly, I am not including anything Tannehill does tonight against Buffalo. That being said let’s take a look at the comparison.

Player

QB Rating

Yards Per Game

TD Percentage

INT Percentage

Yards Per Attempt

Completion Percentage

Russell Wilson

90.5

182.7

5.9

3.2

7.2

62.1

Brandrew Griffehill III

77.9

241.4

2.6

2.7

7.0

58.9

A quick look at that table shows that Wilson has been decidedly more effective than our fictional aggregate of 2012 rookie quarterbacks. Wilson has a significantly superior passer rating and completion percentage, suggesting better accuracy than his fellow rookies. The statistic that jumps off the page is the fact that Wilson is throwing touchdowns (5.9%) more than twice as often as other rookie QBs, the importance of which goes without saying. Where Wilson falters is in the yards per game category, but that is mitigated by the fact he is throwing for more yards per attempt. This shows that Wilson’s uninspiring yardage totals are simply a result of part he plays in Seattle’s run heavy offense. The other problematic stat here for Wilson is his interception percentage. To give a frame of reference Eli Manning’s career INT percentage is 3.3% so this is the sort of territory we are talking about. If anything Wilson’s fellow rookies have their INT percentage deflated by Robert Griffin III’s freakish 1.1% mark, which is unlikely to be sustainable. Wilson could stand to throw a couple less interceptions, but to be honest that feels like nit-picking.

This is a silly little exercise but what it demonstrates is that Wilson has more than held his own in his rookie season so far. I am the first to admit that I wanted to see the starting job go to Flynn this off-season but apparently the guys whose job it is to make these decisions are better at it than I am. Shocking. Although Wilson has had his frustrating moments, it is apparent he is making an exceedingly smooth transition to the NFL. In most years he would be in serious consideration for Offensive Rookie of the Year and one of the biggest stories in the league. I’ll happily settle for the quiet effectiveness we are seeing so far.

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2012 NFL Preview: Washington Redskins

June 12 2012; Ashburn, VA, USA; Washington Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III (10) throws the ball during Redskins Minicamp at Redskins Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-US PRESSWIRE

Another day, and another team previewed for the 2012 NFL season. Our tour around the league stops this time in our nation’s capital with the Washington Redskins. The ‘Skins are a team that will get a lot of attention this year no matter what their record. And that will be entirely because of their new quarterback, Robert Griffin III.

I will add, and I’m not afraid of upsetting any DC fans to say so, but the team’s “name” is the most racist in all of sports. How a team can get away with calling themselves a racial slur in this day and age is absolutely mind blowing. If I was the commissioner, I’d force them to forfeit every draft pick in every round until they changed their name.

The heavy lifting for this one was done by Kevin Mawyer of Riggosrag.com

Biggest Team Need Heading Into Offseason: The Redskins need to solidify problem positions such as Safety and Linebacker. The Redskins also need to figure out what they’re going to do with players like Brandon Banks that aren’t true WR threats, but bring something unique to the table.

Key Free Agents Retained: London Fletcher

Key Player Additions: Pierre Garçon, Josh Morgan, Brandon Merriweather, Robert Griffin III.

Key Players Leaving:LaRon Landry

Quick Thoughts on Draft: Robert Griffin III will be the face of this Redskins team whether they sink or swim. The draft has brought a lot of optimism to the DC Metro area and all Redskins fans are excited to see which of these picks turn-out and how quickly they can impact the bottom line (wins and losses).

Quick Thoughts on 2012 schedule: No “gimme” games in this schedule. The AFC North and NFC South combine for a very tough road for Washington to make the playoffs. You also have to remember the six games versus the NFC. Redskins fans are going to find out what RGIII is made of in a hurry.

Most Interesting Roster Battle: Wide Receiver. Garçon looks to be the clear-cut #1, but positions 2-6 are completely up in the air.

Biggest Strength Heading Into 2012: The front seven. Ryan Kerrigan and Brian Orakpo are the core of this front seven that is a part of a playoff-caliber defense. If the offense can put up 21+ per game, watch out.

Biggest Weakness Heading Into 2012: Quarterback/Safety. Quarterback is TBD and safety has been an issue for years. As long as people can stay healthy, the Skins secondary should be serviceable.

Biggest Question Still To Be Answered: Can Robert Griffin III make the transition to the pro game and live up to the hype?

2012 Prediction: As of right now, the Redskins appear to be a .500 team just from roster upgrades. My official prediction is 8-8.

The Redskins went “all-in” to get RG3, giving up 3 first round picks and a 2nd round pick. The problem is that they don’t have a lot of talent around him. Their receiving core is far from special. Roy Helu was a serendipitous find, and while he’s good, he’s probably the weakest RB in the division.

The defense is similar. Kerrigan and Orakpo are genuinely special special players, but that lack of decent secondary players behind them will limit their impact.

What this team needs is 3-4 more high draft pick to round out the roster and get them ready to really compete. Too bad the ‘Skins traded those picks to the Rams in order to get RG3.

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Redskins Mortgage Future For Robert Griffin III

Seahawk fans can drop the pipe dream of the Seahawks trading up for a top QB in this year’s draft. The Colts have already cut Peyton Manning as part of a plan that includes drafting Andrew Luck. And now the Redskins have given up a … [visit site to read more]

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NFL QB Market – The Outcome

This is an “ideal world” post. You know, that place that doesn’t exist where everything works out exactly as it should with no major surprises. This world doesn’t exist, but if it did this is how I think the QB market should fall this … [visit site to read more]

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Brandon Weeden, To Ugh Or Not To Ugh?

Brandon Weeden. Mandatory Credit: Chris Morrison-US PRESSWIRE

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Calm Down The RG3 Hype

Or don’t actually. Build him up so someone else can overpay for him. Just don’t expect the Seahawks to move up for Robert Griffin III. While anything is possible, there’s simply too much evidence available that suggests it simply won’t even be considered by the Seahawks.

By now you’ve already read all about John Schneider’s Green Bay background and trade down philosophy. I wont spend much time on that here since it’s already well known and well documented. The one thing I would add on this topic is that there’s no reason why he’d  want to give up on this philosophy now. The last 2 drafts have seen Schneider draft pro-bowl level talent late in the draft. Moving back in the first round and getting more picks can only be a good thing when Schneider is the one drafting the players, and he knows it.

The other reason why I don’t see the Seahawks targeting RG3 is that he isn’t the type of quarterback the Seahawks want. Now, before you roll your eyes and point your web browser to another site, let me explain what I mean.  … [visit site to read more]

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How Much Is RG3 Worth?

Later today, the Seahawks will play their final game of the 2011 season. After that, there will be only 1 question that everyone will be talking about:

Who will be the Seahawks QB in 2012?

It seems that the player that … [visit site to read more]

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Revisiting The NFL QB Draft Prospects

I haven’t had a chance to get all my draft position rankings up, or even put together my big board. Such is the business of running a Seahawks blog. This team keeps me busy, and getting my college scouting results up is lower on the priority list. Today, though, I’ve been lucky to see a couple of the top QB prospects, and really wanted to get my notes posted while my thoughts are sill fresh.

I understand that my views on quarterbacks aren’t what you’ll find on other sites and from national guys like Mel Kiper. That doesn’t bother me in the slightest. I don’t do a good job predicting “draft value” like Kiper does, but I do think I do a good job predicting pro success, which is more important in my mind.

… [visit site to read more]

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